A new pre-electoral scenario is beginning to take shape in Neuquén

A new pre-electoral scenario is beginning to take shape in Neuquén
A new pre-electoral scenario is beginning to take shape in Neuquén

The surprises appeared in 2023, first when in the month of April, the MPN he lost his first election for Governor in his entire history, and secondly in the months of October and November, when 60% of the electorate voted in favor of Milei in his presidential election. A victory by scandal, especially if one takes into account that, until a few months ago, neither the party nor the candidate who won appeared on the provincial electoral map.

As the senators are renewed by thirds and the deputies by halves, Javier Milei, despite his overwhelming victory, is in an absolute minority in Congress, which is why he cannot accompany his ambitious process of liberal reforms through a package of laws.

It is enough to remember how in February of this year, the Government had to back down with the package of laws known as the “Omnibus Law” for not having support in the parliamentary committees, or as in the month of March, the Chamber of Senators of the The Nation rejected the Decree of Necessity and Urgency N|70/2023 that sought to modify, replace and repeal more than 100 laws or decrees. It was by an overwhelming 42 votes against, only 25 in favor and 4 abstentions.

The need that Javier Milei has

For this reason, in 2025, Milei will go out to look for the votes it lacks in Congress throughout the country and Neuquén will not be the exception, since 3 seats for deputies and 3 seats for senators are renewed.

The electoral calendar will also serve to understand how the local political map was reconfigured.

The Neuquén Popular Movement, which until recently dominated the electoral polls, was left in a strange situation. Much of its party structure, especially that which responds to former governor Omar Gutiérrez and that made up of the mayors of the interior who need the provincial treasury to cover their current expenses, was absorbed by the space that defeated him, the Community party. by Rolando Figueroa.

However, the sectors that have room for political action and economic independence, such as the “oil workers” Rucci and Pereyra and the capital’s mayor Mariano Gaido, do not seem to have surrendered yet to Figueroa’s new hegemony.

Logic indicates that both the Gutiérrez, oil and Gaido sectors will try to obtain some representation in the national congress. Anyone who achieves even one place will be able to boast a great victory, after the great defeat of 2023.

However, this will hardly happen if the three sectors go to the polls separately.

Will the figure of the leader of the blue list, Jorge Sapag, be the one who achieves a possible agreement between all parties, as he has done in the past, or will the MPN, instead, be the epicenter of a new internal conflict? The scheme planned for the PASO elections could be a key moment for the MPN to define a new leadership within the provincial opposition, although a greater division caused by the electoral competition could also mean resigning itself to not obtaining any representation in the congress.

The first test for Rolando Figueroa

For his part, Rolando Figueroa and his multiparty army will have the first electoral test within their period as the ruling party. These midterm elections usually serve to measure the voters’ approval or disapproval of a new government. But it is also useful to understand how the internal power scheme works, within an organization as complex as the community.

Who will be the head of the list and who will have a symbolic place?

Within the Community space, there are the pure figueroistas, who do not respond to any party, but to the figure of their leader. But there are also the libertarians, the former Emepenistas, those from the PRO, radicals and Kirchnerist and non-Kirchnerist Peronists. Will Figueroa manage to impose his figurines without breaking his space?

With 2025 throbbing, political movements of all kinds can be observed in Neuquén: the operators of Libertad Avanza are in charge of processing their own political party in court, Omar Gutiérrez tours the Emepenist sections of the entire province, seeking to maintain its structure, Rucci seeks to gain public notoriety and threatens to turn the oil fields into a battlefield if the government imposes income tax on its members, Gaido seeks to show management and modernity with his Scientific and Technological pole and Figueroa shows austerity and makes big announcements to shore up his management and not lose allies within his political establishment.

2023 was the year where the traditional political structure broke down and 2025 will likely be the year where we will know what replaced it.

 
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