The last survey they took to Cristina Kirchner, with sensitive data about Javier Milei

After Cristina Kirchner raised her profile against Javier Milei, in the midst of the controversy over the distribution of food and social aid, the consultant who measures for the Instituto Patria approached the former president with a new survey with sensitive government data.

The study of Analogies what advances Clarion This Wednesday was done based on a national survey of 2,496 cases throughout the countryinterviewed between May 25 and 28, with +/- 2% margin of error.

The report combines numbers from the current economy with responses from respondents. In the first case, there is an interesting table detailing (with percentages) the main items adjusted by the Government to achieve the promoted surplus.

But also, the work contains information that somehow harms Cristina, despite being the recipient of the document. What is that data? There is still a majority of people who hold the previous Government responsible for the current crisis.

To begin with, the study analyzes the adjustment and, in line with what the main swords of Kirchnerism state, raises doubts about its sustainability over time. It stands out, for example, that more than half of the cut affects public employees, university students and retirees. He explains it like this:

“Possibly a rebalancing is taking place between the notions that were circulating about the ‘need for adjustment’ – which we had verified quite clearly throughout 2023 – and the consequences of its concrete application, quite accelerated and brutal on the other hand“.

“On the fiscal level, for example, the adjustment of primary spending (without debt interest) is 33% in the first four months of the year compared to the same period in 2023. More eloquent than that figure, which in itself is not It has political effects, it is the composition of that adjustmentas a sign of its exceptionality”.

“55% of the real contraction in spending is applied through the reduction of expenditures that are deposited in the pockets of state workers, university students, retirees and holders of rights and social programs.”

“These are, by the way, concepts that instantly transform into consumption and circulation of goods and services. Another 11% of the adjustment is made through concepts that are indirect salarythrough rate subsidies”.

“Besides, the adjustment is not limited to the fiscal sphere, which is very important because of the weight it has on the economy, but also as a sign of the orientation of the political authority. The adjustment underway reaches the formal and informal private salary, the other conditions in which the workforce operates, the level of employment, monetary aggregates, savings in pesos and productive industrial and rural working capital.”

“In reality, the only two sectors that, far from being adjusted, have largely benefited from the Milei government are the holders of Treasury bonds and the business elite that have achieved strategic positions on regulated businesses or land rents. “It is a comprehensive economic adjustment to the conditions of life and production whose only reverse is an eventual nominal stabilization of the economy within a reasonable period of time.”

“Therefore, on the economic level, the opinions of this study appear very variably determined with respect to the ‘time’ variable. The evaluations about the present are very bad. For next year there is a balance between optimism and pessimism. Only for the “next two years” will pessimism give way to the vital answer that the economic situation will improve.”

The survey also includes basic questions about the political and economic situation. And there the crack remains quite deep-rooted around the figure of Milei, with quite tough and consolidated support and rejection groups.

The President’s assessment is divided into equal parts: 47.6% in favor and 47.3% against, with 5.1% “nays/nots”. This parity comes from previous months and is good news for the libertarian, since the majority of politicians, including Cristina, have a wide differential against them.

Even better are the economic expectations, with 48.6% of interviewees optimistic and 41.2% pessimistic. And, as explained, the view on the “price escalation” has the “previous Government” as more responsible: 44.3% against 30.3% of the “Milei Government.”

But, as Clarín already said in previous notes, the unemployment alarm is ringing again. In this case, Analogies Question: Do you believe that employment is being destroyed in Argentina? 53.9% say yes, between “a lot” and “quite a bit”, versus 36.2% who respond between “a little” and “nothing”.