As wrong as making a Peronist reading of non -Peronism (and vice versa) is to understand the 2025 legislative elections as if they were executive elections.
Argentina is a semiparliament country since the constitutional reform of 1994. All important issues pass through the Legislative Power. The manifest hatred of the government that assumed in 2023 towards the Legislative Power is not understood if it is not taken into account that it is triumph and claudicate a thousandongueras pretensions (“Hand in hand”, Lyrics of the Black Cele).
That “place where the degenerates are fiscal” – according to the last definition of Javier Mile – becomes the central track of the agenda. The proximity of the elections in the 24 provinces naked the true weight of each force, and the government chooses the shortcut to replace the policy with a public relations program mounted on the alleged popularity of its management of the economy.
A bet for open grave: For lack of policy risks the achievements of the economy, Something expected in Argentina, the country of abundant resource.
The shortcut to attack imaginary enemies
Part of that advertising saga is the disqualification of imaginary enemies such as communism – a literary fiction – or free press. Or who, presumes Olivos, were pessimistic about the fate of this government. It is another retrospective fantasy.
If something helps this government is the 2023 social license around the program it develops and was supported by four of the five presidential candidates of the first round of 2023
On this Milei, far from being an outsider, is a champion of the conformism of the urban bourgeoisie. Neither with using eschatological language nor getting your finger in the nose can become a conformist of the América Corporation into an outsider.
Nor is it wrong: politics is a representation business, not to drag from an illuminated avant -garde. Part of the Public Relations Program is to impose as important the metric of the numerical result of each candidate so that it translates in the final scrutiny in a role of winners and losers.
But it is a parliamentary choice, and what matters is what legislature will be integrated with the sum of the lists that compete. From that result the power of each party will come out, each alliance and, looking forward, the fate that may be in the 2027 executive election.
Win is to build majorities
To illustrate it according to the mirages that feed the voting intention surveys this week for the May 18 elections in CABA: What matters more, 1) If in the result the peronism of the radical Leandro Santoro took more votes over all others, or 2) How many legislators can the spectrum of the right center that was of Cambiemos together in the new legislature?
The six lists in which that electorate adds, in surveys, 57% of the votes. As in the national order, in the subnational districts the result also matters more because of the ability to assemble majorities in the legislatures than because of the brightness that the news can have that someone takes a vote more than another. This would be decisive in an executive choice.
The National Government seeks to nationalize local elections to install that the fundamental contradiction is Milei or Cristina. Something that no longer happened in Santa Fe. That attempt is in danger in Caba if the fight is Peronism vs. Macrismo Except in the Chaco, the provincial closures have not placed the Libertad advances in competitive places.
Green light to reelections
The parliamentary nature of these elections reaches relief this week in the province of Buenos Aires. The Senate of the District goes to the enclosure to repeal the law that prevents the indefinite re -election of provincial legislators.
That rule has the necessary votes to become a law in a mirror session in the Chamber of Deputies. Limiting legislative mandates was an extravagant idea of María Eugenia Vidal and Sergio Massa, two examples of politicians in retro career -they are less than what they were before, governor and head of the National Cabinet, respectively.
It was a norm with name and surname to leave some adversaries out of play, with the argument that this eternity in the charges was the cause of greater evils.
The main engine of every politician is to eternalize in power, but moralize about this separates the province of Buenos Aires from the rest of the world. There are almost almost important countries that have that restriction; They do not have the United States, Spain, Great Britain, Italy, nor most of the Argentine provinces.
In the United States “Ted” Kennedy was a senator for 47 years without the rimmel being run. In Britain, Churchill became in 1959 the “Father of the House”, the parliamentarian with more years in service. If it had not been legislator from 1900 to 1964 perhaps the allies had not defeated the axis in World War II.
Axel: ” – We are broken and without return”
The project has the support of Peronism and the La Libertad sector progresses “Blue”, which have the votes to take out the law that challenge the PRO and the UCR. The reform is part of the main novelty that Axel Kicillof brings: it offers in La Góndola a Peronism without Cristina.
He presented it at the meeting with Federico Storani on Monday at the “La Plata” brewery of the provincial capital. It is interested in putting the magnifying glass to that appointment because Kicillof does not usually verbalize his decisions clearly. This time it was direct before the former radical deputy: ” – We are broken and without return with Cristina and Christianity. They do not let me govern in peace, they make my life impossible. Cristina does not accept any new leadership. And if I don’t break now, I’m never going to do it. ”
Why did Freddy call him? To invite him to integrate an anti-Milei front that will launch in the next few days. Axel extended almost for an hour on the assembly of that front, based on ten games that support him, at the head of two of them. One is the great front that Mario Secco, mayor of Ensenada, and Unión Popular, by Claudio Lozano.
Now it is not yet now
Storani listened and could say they call him again when they break. The “now” is in the grammar of Axel a adverb of uncertain elasticity. “- I have to ensure governance in the two years that come.”
That need postpones the deadlines, convinced how the Peronism is to ensure unity, its main competitive advantage against fragmented non -Peronism.
This takes any schismatic ritual that means transferring the fight in the dome to an electorate who has been united since 2019, the year of Sergio Massa’s return to the Christian Redile.
It is the same as rehearsing in CABA Jorge Macri, who has decoupled from his coalition to the UCR, but maintains the commitments with the radical tribes of Martín Lousteau and Daniel Angelici.
They maintain the areas of co -government in exchange for the UCR brand to go with a testimonial candidacy such as Lula Levy. With governance it is not played.
Tied radicals
Storani believes that the attempts of his co -religionists of the UCR and the pro to rebuild together for the change in the province of Buenos Aires involve throwing themselves in the arms of mileism. Freddy integrates the sector that went to internal elections for the conduct of the party.
The dispute was prosecuted And there was a threat of the National Committee, led by Martín Lousteau (sector that integrates Storani), to intervene the party in the district. The Province Committee, which presides over the contradictor Maxi Abad, brought together his militancy in Mar del Plata and advanced in an agreement for a collegiate leadership of the party, composed of 5 members of each sector. The names of those who will integrate that committee are not yet known.
Storani: Axel wanted him to know
The meeting with Storani managed, at the request of Axel, Julio Alak, mayor of La Plata and former fellow Freddy. Axel also requested that there were a photo. Freddy negotiated that, then, it was not in the Government House but in a public place.
They were not alone. Axel went with Alak and Freddy with former deputy Alejandro Echegaray. Axel didn’t tell anyone. One of his ministers who usually tread the governor’s agenda was worried when he saw such an unusual commitment noted. “- And what is this?” “What it is,” they replied. “- Axel wants him to know.”
Camaño, re -election for a record
Reelect restriction does not exist in the national order. That enables cases of long legislative continuity. The record is Graciela Camaño, today outside the Chamber of Deputies, where she was chosen by eight mandates.
She is the legislator who was more time in Congress, surpassing the brand that Victorino de la Plaza had, who held seven mandates. During his years in Congress he gained prestige and centrality in key debates, such as the regulation of the 8th transient clause of the Constitution reformed in 1994 on the pre -existing delegated legislation (art. 76 °).
It is the rule that makes Argentina a semiparliament country. Camaño at this time discusses with non -Christian Peronism sectors of Buenos Aires to be a candidate for a bank. He has conversations with leaders who seek to expand that sector, such as Emilio Monzó.
Schiaretti more popular than Milei
Camaño also maintains understandings with the Juan Schiaretti sector. The former governor of Córdoba has the project to head a list of deputies. He has surveys that show him with a popularity superior to that of Milei in his district (3% above).
The decision to compete depends on the closures of other lists, because they attribute the decision to compete only if they assure you that you can go out first in Córdoba. Risking political capital, which is also that of its successor Martín Llaryora, to leave second is not business for either.
He made a good presidential election in 2023 and will seek, if he is a deputy, to lead a project like the one he threw between 2017 and 2018 with Miguel Pichetto, Massa, Juan Urtubey and Roberto Lavagna. If Córdoba wins, he can try a national assembly leading the spectrum of Peronism no K.
Locro, empanadas and another launch
Graciela Camaño was on Thursday in the celebration of the worker of the Gastronomic Union of CABA that Dante Camaño drives.
It was the most important political meeting of the week, which sat at the same table to President Ramón Puerta and the macrista candidate for the capital Hernán Lombardi, César Torres, Secretary of Government of Jorge Macri and Campaign Chief of the PRO, Gastón Juan, head of the Federal Meeting (Pichetto driving) in CABA, and the businessman Carlos Spadone.
Between empanadas and Locro the trade unionist launched his candidacy for the position of National Secretary of the Union. He will play the position to his former brother Luis Barrionuevo. It will be in December, by the “Gray” list. They asked Dante why “gray.”
He explained that it is in tribute to the cloudy day of June 12, 1974, that of the last appearance of Juan Perón with the mythical gray quadrillé gabán with velvet flaps. That farewell is repeated by Pope Bergoglio when he went to the Plaza de San Pedro to bless Holy Week a few hours before he died. A Peronist farewell.