There is a speculation that within Kirchnerism they know that, sooner or later, it will become a certainty. The project of Clean file, which already obtained half a sanction in the Chamber of Deputies, has more and more chances of becoming law. And if that happened, Cristina Kirchner would be offside for a choice of national positions.
The government hopes to be able to deal with this week in the Senate of the Nation. After postponing it on one occasion and at the doors of the formal start of the electoral year -which will start this weekend with elections in four provinces -, they bet to achieve a blow of effect on the political board and impose conditions in the assembly of the opposition forces.
“I think there will be session and the project will be approved. There are the votes. There are no doubt left,” said the chief of cabinet on the last Sunday, Guillermo Francos. As confirmed Infobaefrom the national government they asked the president of the Freedom bench in the Senate, Ezequiel Achaucheto send to the blocks a note to commit to approve the initiative. advance signals.
Until now the former president of the Nation has ahead three electoral options for this year. Be a candidate for the first provincial deputy for the third electoral section Buenos Aires; occupy the first place in the list of candidates for national deputies by the province of Buenos Aires or lead the ballot for candidates for national senators by the city of Buenos Aires.
The three options were considered, at different times, within the world, although not all had the same force. What they do reaffirm at the Patria Institute and its surroundings is that the former head of state will be a candidate this year. Where and when it is not yet defined. But he will play.
“The law of clean file has a name and surname. But it is a law that does not seek to proscribe a legislative candidacy. Milei is afraid of CFK 2027 ″they warned in the surroundings of the former president, and thus opened a possible path for the Peronist leader to compete again for the presidency of the Nation.
In the Patria Institute they believe that the president “He is afraid of a single person, who is Cristina, who is the opposition leader”. It is a key message for Kicillof, which tries to emerge as a strong figure of the opposition, in the midst of the power dispute that stars in its government with the former vice president and La Cámpora. A power and centrality dispute.
The concrete possibility that this Wednesday may be sanctioned by the clean file law puts the head of the National PJ, that would be invalidated to compete for national positions. That is, for two of the three options that turn, for a long time, in the Ultra Kirchnerist universe.
If clean file sees the light, one of the political objectives of the government will have been fulfilled. CFK can be offside for having a confirmed condemnation in Second instanceas happened in the road case, where the Court of Cassation confirmed the conviction of the Court of First Instance.
In recent days, Kirchnerism began, again, to make the flag of proscription flame. As had happened in 2023, when the judicial case was at its peak and the K leadership, with Axel Kicillof at the head, he performed acts in which they warned about the decision of the federal justice to outlaw the former president and shaped the crying operation to be a candidate for president.
If clean file becomes law, CFK cannot participate in a national position. That is to say, He will only have an alternative and that is to compete in the third electoral section of the provincewhere he has a very strong adhesion of voters. It is the nerve point of the country where there are a lot of Christian votes. There lies the defense of his popular power.
Those who have frequented it in their offices of the Patria Institute, say that for the former vice president there is no possible triumph in October, if first Peronism does not win the Buenos Aires election in September. In that approach is a part of his justification to compete.
“Cristina understands that you have to put the body to the first choice for the difficulties that Peronism has to win it”explained to Infobae a frequent interlocutor of the former national president. In their environment they cultivate the idea that he will fulfill his word and, as he said privately to several mayors, will be a candidate in the third section.
In that tune was the key message they sent from La Cámpora, when on Thursday, May 1, a photo of Máximo Kirchner and Mayra Mendoza with a sign that said “Cristina 2025″. A clear signal about the electoral game that is willing to play.
His possible competence in the most populous electoral section of the province was used as a warning of Máximo Kirchner to Axel Kicillof in the event that the governor decided to unfold the Buenos Aires elections. “If unfolding, Cristina is a candidate,” The former president’s son said to the governor in one of the last meetings where a truce was sought to order the electoral process of the province.
The camorista leader exerted pressure on Kicillof to prevent the elections from going forward. He did it using the back width and drawing on the horizon a scenario of possible Peronist competition. The governor unfolded despite the pressures and left the negotiation of unity open, despite the fact that from Christianism, the day he confirmed the unfolding, they assured that the governor He had broken Peronism.
In the Patria Institute they argue that “It was never sought to use Cristina’s candidacy as a form of pressure” to Kicillof. In that sense, they advance that if CFK plays in the province, it will be with “A unit candidacy” y “Not to compete with an Axel list”. In this way, they rule out the possibility of a Peronist confrontation. At least, at this stage of the calendar.
If the clean file project is sanctioned, a new discussion will be opened that is linked to its application. Can it be applied retroactively? Because to be effective on the figure of Cristina Kirchner, it must be used on a decision of the federal justice taken in November 2024, when the Criminal Cassation Chamber confirmed the first instance sentence.
In Peronism anyone serves to break. Neither CFK nor Kicillof. Which does not mean that they are not willing to do so in the event that disagreements reach a point of no return. Both would lose if they are separated. Both, even if they do not want, are trapped in the need for the unit if the ultimate goal is to win. Although, of course, the search for triumph is not always at any price.
The clean file project will move the electoral board in the case of being sanctioned. There will be winners and losers. And, above all, there will be new plays to achieve a triumph at the polls or on the cusp of power.
