The Secretary of the Navy announced the prognosis of tropical cyclones of this year for Mexico. 19 cyconic events are planned in the Pacific Ocean and 17 in Atlantic Ocean (Gulf of Mexico and the Caribbean Sea).
Of the total tropical cyclones in Mexico, 18 could evolve in hurricanes.
The tropical cyclones season begins on May 15 at the Pacific Ocean and on June 1 at the Atlantic Ocean, ending on November 30 in both coastlines. Mexico, due to its geographical location, is affected by tropical cyclones every year.
According to the national Water Commission, a tropical cyclone is a gigantic whirlpool that covers hundreds of thousands of square kilometers and takes place, primarily, over tropical oceanic spaces.
When oceanic and atmospheric conditions cause a tropical cyclone, its evolution and development can become a hurricane.
In the Pacific Ocean, 10 are foreseen, of which six forts of category 1 and 2 would be; as well as four intense category 3, 4 and 5.
While in the Atlantic Ocean, eight hurricanes are planned, of them: four forts of category 1 and 2; four intense category 3, 4 and 5.
According to the climate forecast of the SEMAR, from May to the beginning of the Tropical Cyclones season 2025, an increase in the probability of rains on the coast of the central and south of the Mexican Pacific is expected, as well as in the coast of the Gulf of Mexico.
In contrast, the northwest region of the country will experience rains below the average, during the same period.
For the month of June 2025, rains are expected above and close to the average in most of the national territory, while in the northeast and southeast region a marked rainfall deficit.
In July, a decrease in rainfall in the Yucatan Peninsula is expected, while in the rest of the country rainfall will be observed within the average values.
For the months of August to October, rainfall with average values within normal is expected.
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