The Catalan elections of May 12 left the governance of that community in the air after revealing the decline of the independence movement. The European Championships on June 9 exacerbated this trend. But, not even the secessionist formations – starting with Carles Puigdemont and Junts – give up demanding … for themselves the presidency of the Generalitat, as if it were part of their exclusive patrimony, nor do electoral setbacks allow them to operate with the solvency and predictability that institutional politics in Catalonia and Spain require. ERC, the party that alone maintains the autonomous government, seems to be mired in another of its cyclical crises, between stunned and divided before the dilemma of favoring the appointment of the first secretary of the PSC, Salvador Illa, as the new Catalan president, or support Puigdemont so that he stages his return to the main office of the Palau as an act of restitution.
The episode of the frustrated consultation among the republican bases, on the incorporation or not of their party to the Barcelona municipal government of the socialist mayor Jaume Collboni, is the most eloquent example of the weakness of the formation at the head of which Marta Rovira, self-exiled, has placed herself. in Geneva. ERC has already advanced its conditions to facilitate Illa’s appointment. A unique financing system for Catalonia, similar to the Basque Country and Navarra. And negotiate the referendum. Both demands that ERC could not accept in the form of vague promises or word games without breaking down internally and being the object of unbearable pressure from Junts and the rest of the independence movement. Because its weakness is such that not even the certain risk of an electoral repetition that would once again subtract votes and seats from the independence movement in general and from ERC in particular seems to be a sufficient argument to support, whether active or passive, the socialist presidency for Catalonia.
Unless Junts experiences an unexpected reversion towards the most pactist Pujolism, and Puigdemont is the one who renounces his options of seeing himself as president again so that Junts and the independence movement recover in a loyal opposition to a government of Salvador Illa. A scenario so difficult to imagine today that it forces us to think that only a miraculous metamorphosis of the independence movement in favor of a transversal majority for Catalonia, or the concession of the Generalitat government to the independence movement, could prevent new calls from being called after August 20 elections.
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