TRENDS – CABA APRIL 2025.pdf
The abuse of the term “Kirchnerism” in the debate sounded fictional. The Peronism front took off in names and colors. He changed the celestial for green and the key words “union” or “all” for a more nomenclature: it is now Buenos Aires. Santoro looks more moderate than his classmates of La Cámpora and even has roots in radicalism.
Scope consulted to one of the 17 candidates, which is defined near the libertarians in the economic, although it questions many of the forms of lla in the rest of the areas. Yamil Santoro, of Libertarian Porteña Union, with a good link with the PRO. “Leandro Santoro is in a space whose boss is Cristina Kirchner, so it can be defined as a Kirchner”Said the current Buenos Aires legislator. A plausible explanation.
However, it seemed that his opponentsrather than mark a matter of party verticalisms or headquarters, They tried to launch a kind of stigma to Santoro to scare him electorate. It is not a novelty, in the management of Cambiemos the same was attempted. Hold Cristina Kirchner as a ghost on the prowl. In full boom of Mauricio Macri, a leader of the first line of that alliance said: If Cristina came to leave this world, her obligation was to resurrect it. The result of that process is known, part of the path that led to Milei.
Now the times changed, but the equation made by national and Buenos Aires ruling remains the same. A test will arrive this Wednesday in the Senate, when the project arrives Clean file I could run to the former court of the court for October. Do you have a will to advance with that project? There are doubts. A signal: in Casa Rosada they slid that “the numbers” are not to sanction it, although in Congress the marble that is guaranteed for that initiative.
The clean card session will also be treated in a carriage campaign And you can exhibit new fractures between Lla and the PRO, in moments of negotiations in pause. The electoral results of the next two Sundays will be the letters to sit at the table, focus on a possible society in the province of Buenos Aires.
Peronism in his labyrinth
Not only highlight the dividing line with Kirchnerism pays well for the pro and lla. To take off from Cristina Kirchner became an option for part of Peronism, which is encouraged to make differences. Axel Kicillof He grew in image since he took distance, they say in La Plata; Distance that will increase on May 24, when it lays its own space, away from La Cámpora. The right movement will be a sample of political muscle with intendants and guilds, but also a possible refuge for the governor if the tension with La Cámpora implies a break. A break that nevertheless nobody wants.
A survey by the public feelings exhibits the risk of a break. If Peronism did not reach a unit, freedom progresses would win in the province of Buenos Aireswithout even needing the PRO. The intention to vote of the libertarians is in the order of 31, against 21% of the “kicillophist” Peronism (if the term existed) and 17% of Kirchnerism. The macrismo holds in that measurement 7%. With which, it can end up being the referee of the contest.
feelings 3.jpg
The poll of public feelings in PBA.
Not in vain, in its reappearance at the Finding FoundationSergio Massa, broke out of unity. “The reconstruction is with unity, with spaces of plural discussion that think about the development of the country federally,” he said. The leader of the Renovating Front tends bridges between both sectors, although in case the positions are inflexible ends up supporting the Christinist position. It was seen in the discussion due to the unfolding of Buenos Aires elections.
The scenario is also analyzed by the Homeland Institutewhere They see that the new waves are not so new. The mirror is the Government of Cambiemos, which also appeared as the new policy and an innovative space that came to break with bipartisanship. For example, for the same management period, Mauricio Macri had a better image than Javier Milei. It was reflected this week the trusted indicator of the Torcuato Di Tella University: for the same amount of months in the Rivadavia armchair, Milei is better than Alberto Fernández, but worse than Mauricio Macri. And, as for the trend, the current president is in fall, according to another survey, that of Management and Fit, although it remains the best valued politician. However, the curves have already crossed: there are more than those who approve the libertarian administration.
In that context, Cristina Kirchner remembers That even with tension inside doors, the way to beat not only Mauricio Macri, but also María Eugenia Vidal, was with space cohesion. With everyone inside. The famous “With Cristina you can’t reach, without Cristina you can’t.” It is no accident that in his message for Labor Day he said: “It is more necessary than ever staying together.”
Embed – https://publish.twitter.com/oembed?url=https://x.com/CFKArgentina/status/1917896874679574905?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1917896874679574905%7Ctwgr%5E8313cfd4cd10e116dc8025635437f357f3f01b4d%7Ctwcon%5Es1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.lanacion.com.ar%2Fpolitica%2Fla-publicacion-de-cristina-kirchner-por-el-dia-del-trabajador-criticas-a-milei-y-un-paralelismo-de-nid01052025%2F&partner=&hide_thread=false
The distance sample with Cristina is not just Buenos Aires. The Riojan governor Ricardo Quintelafar from a withdrawal after the internal fault of the PJ, He takes his “federal” line to the provinces. last week his vice, Teresita Madera, took the preaching to Tucumán. Also in the north, where the party is intervened in Salta and Jujuy, challenges that question Kirchnerism. In the last province, the interview with the scope made by the national senator Carolina Moisés, a reference of Peronism no K and with its own front for May 11 was eloquent. Moses said that La Cámpora “is destructive” and questioned Cristina’s leadership form “from imposition.” The governors of the PJ, in general, take refuge in their payments and do not give hurras to the president of the party.
Of course, the province of Buenos Aires is a resonance box of another magnitude. The “Cristina 2025” parades in the conurbano put Kicillof alert, in a bracelet that scale and loosen, from a sections, and where having no step in the province everything will be reduced to the control of the pen. There were these days Camporista accusations to La Plata and Avellaneda for a traffic control operation that stopped a truck with Cristina’s campaign graph. But also thanks to Kicillof of Intenders K of Quilmes, Merlo and Malvinas Argentinas for the forgiveness of municipal debts. Although, in the Kicillof surroundings they read it more as an extortion, since the condonation of the debt close to the $ 8,000 million strictly did not go through the legislature. “It’s like I thank you for a gift that you didn’t give,” they said in the city of the diagonals.
Neutrals observe that there may be a balance situation to the October elections. Then, another story will begin, when the race is launched around 2027.
Movements in Congress
If clean file will be in Congress another sample of light speeches that will put Kirchnerism again in the center of the scene, there are visible movements where there are visible movements where The watershed is not Cristina, but Milei.
The sessions in deputies who enable the investigative commission for the $ LIBRA, With a chain of responsibilities that point to the president, they reflected that There are spaces that do not flinch to be accused of “Kirchnerists” for voting in the same direction as Union for the Fatherland. They understand that they share a role of opponents with Peronism and that this opposition is to freedom progresses. To Milei. The exit this week by Franco Mogetta of the Ministry of Transportation is an invoice pass to the Cordoba of Juan Schiaretti and Governor Martín Llaryora by freeing his deputies to support the Investigative Commission. That is, for leaving the Manichaean axis of Argentine politics, in which the libertarians insist.
A method that is not new, Already at the beginning of its management, mercy He had fired the Secretary of Energy, Flavia Royón, and the head of the ANSES, Osvaldo Giordano, because the governors of Salta (Gustavo Sáenz) and Córdoba, had hesitated with the base law.
If the majorities rearm with another logic, they can be a headache for Milei in Congress in an electoral year. Retirement reforms, update of assets and pensions can put the fiscal front in trouble. Like last year, when Milei built the third of the heroes in deputies, which worked as a dike to hold the vetoes to the projects that did not endorse.
Related news :