Shortly after one month after the beginning of the floatation of the official dollar between bandthe uniform work Below $ 1,200, which implies that it is closer to the floor than the roof. However, there are factors that will determine their price during May, such as Field settlement y The domestic demand of entrepreneurs still reached by the stocks. That is why The City experts already advance what could happen with their price in the short term.
To Eric PaniaguaDracma Venture Capital Consulting Socio, The $ 1,200 will be a “balance” price for the dollar. “I think in that value Exporters are feeling comfortable to sell And it is a price that is not pressing the government in terms of price increase. So I think that between $ 1,250 and $ 1,150 it should be located inside the band, although personally I lean more for $ 1,100“.
It should be noted that The liquidation of agro exporters was US $ 2,520 million in April, so that the figure amounts to almost S10,000 million so far from 2025. Given this experts argue that the last month was within the average but that, if previous settlements are taken into account, The accumulated is with good numbers before the comparison with the previous years.
In turn, the financial analyst Christian bottle He also said that in May it will be to monitor the liquidation of the field. “This is the month of greater income of dollars by agriculture and that generates an oversu“He said, but warned that you have to remember that There are still restrictions for companies that have the surplus of weights and could press you up or compensate for this decline.
The expert said it should be a month “quiet” for seasonal reasons but that must also be noticed about some dynamics that could happen, such as If the dollar is positioned in a very low value, the field can limit its liquidations to respond to its commitments. And also at the moment The price of soybeans is not at maximum. “It is also a month where the supply should beat the demand,” he closed.
The political factor and measures to encourage the use of dollars
Despite this, there are another analysts that incorporate new factors to consider. “For now I can’t find reasons to think that the dollar goes out sustained from the lower half of the range between bands. More if the government manages to give signs in favor of the market as the eventual sanction of clean file and If the measures for the use of dollars in the economy manage to generate enthusiasm“, said Andrés Reschini, of F2 Financial solutions.
It should be noted that Minister of Economy, Luis Caputosaid Monday that the government is preparing a regulatory framework oriented to Stimulate internal use of cash that is outside the system. As he explained, the main objective is to re -obey the economy without resorting to the issuance of pesos. “The idea is to buy what you want and that nobody asks for explanations,” Caputo said when referring to the deregulation that will see the light in a few weeks.
