The attention of the financial world, from the traditional actions to the crypto ecosystem, focuses on the imminent decision of the United States Federal Reserve (FED) on ratesscheduled for this Wednesday.
While the generalized expectation points to continuity in interest rates, The true compass that will guide the markets will be Jerome Powell’s messageFed helmsman, after the official announcement. Since January that marked the end of a series of three consecutive cuts, the rates remained firm in the strip from 4.25% to 4.5%.
Bitcoin’s price: what can happen after the Fed decision
On this economic chess board, The Fed Organism navigates turbulent waters:
- On the one hand, there is the Explicit pressure of President Donald Trump, who insists on the urgency of reducing rates To conjure the ghost of the recession
- On the other, the need to evaluate the impact of the commercial policies implemented by the president, such as Tariff negotiations that sowed uncertainty
Carolina Gama, Country manager de Bitget For Argentina, he assures iProUP: “More important than the decision itself will be the tone adopted by Jerome Powell In his speech. ”
“If it leans towards a flexibility of monetary policy in the coming months, this would give a new impulse to bitcoin and other risk assets“, he adds. For the range, if a stricter posture is adopted, indicating that they will be kept high for longer,” it can generate additional pressure on the market. “
Analyst Iván Bolé points to iProUP: “There is a broad Consensus of the operators on which the rate remains the same. But the skies around the war of tariffs were not clear. “
Bitcoin’s keys and Fed’s decision
For Bolé, “The zafarrancho of fixed percentage suspended and modified by Trump does not seem to have a short -term solution. But there is also no place for markets to remain in panic. “
“Some operators believe that the Fed will be inclined to maintain and even increase monetary issuance (Expansive policy) As an incentive, “says Bolé.
A fact that introduces an interesting variable in this equation is the behavior of US inflation. “Against any forecast, The April Consumer Price Index registered its second consecutive declineplacing in 2.4% per year, “recalls the economist Paola Marzi.
And he adds: “The solid macroeconomic data allowed the Fed to maintain its observation position against tariff effects and inflation. But if he decides to “give the little machine,” another important variable for cryptocurrencies comes into playalready lived in pandemic times: greater demand for Bitcoin globally as a value refuge.
Bitcoin’s price: what can happen after the Fed decision
The proximity of ads of this magnitude usually generates a caution atmosphere In the markets and the crypto universe is no stranger to this dynamic.
In tune with the measurement observed in traditional bags, Bitcoin moderated his recent bullish impulse at the beginning of this week and quotes very close to US $ 95,000 At the time of this writing. But everything can change since Wednesday.
“It would not be surprising if it quote around US $ 100,000 soon, and even at US $ 103,000 OU $ s105,000. The American state machinery already begins to vote for the laws of reserve funds in Bitcoin: in Arizona it was vetoed, but New Hampshire is the brand new first case, “says Bolé.
According to the expert, “the federal state itself can begin with its own purchases with unidentified and available funds. Although it remarks that” the upward movement will not be exempt from corrections, “he understands that”The prospects of new historical maximums would be seen later in the year“.
“Many analysts agree that This cycle can lead us to levels close to US $1,000, US $ S130,000 and even US $ 150,000 without too much difficulty“, Highlights.
Also appealing to the technical analysis, the range remarks that “faces immediate resistance in the US $ 95,000, an area that coincides with the exponential mobile average of 50 periods (EMA50). A breakdown of this level could reactivate the upward trend, with objectives in the US $ 96,000 YU $ S98,000“.
Before a possible scenario, the Bitget representative remarks that “the loss of support in US $ 93,000 can open space for falls to US $ 92,700 and, in a more pessimistic scenario, up to US $ 90,000.”
Range understands that “Fed’s decision represents a short -term inflection point and should mark the rhythm of volatility in the next few days. “
