By @amatiz12
Mortegliano › Sappada (157km)
Chained mid-mountain that offers the last opportunity for puncheurs.
Days of two halves, the first is completely flat, the second contains the elevations that interest us.
The road steepens at km 86, with an uncategorized undulating elevation that will be used to measure the oil.
Next, the first scoring climb and the most demanding of the entire menu.
4400 meters at 9.7% without any rest and with slopes that reach up to 18% at the base. A wall that would be more definitive if it were close to the finish line, but that, in this context, will dictate without filters who has the legs to win. It is even possible that from there the escape of the escape is created, a small group that is not reached until the goal. Summit 52 from arrival.
We face a direct descent, which, upon completion, leaves us at the foot of the second mountainous difficulty, a 3° of 5000 meters at 6% with a segment of 1 km at 10%, which makes it more challenging. It is crowned 35 minutes from the finish.
Another descent without many technical reviews that will place us in an irregular area – more ascending than descending -, complex terrain to control and which with its slopes will prevent this from being a simple transition. It will be like this for 18 km.
After the up and down we arrive at the final port.
8500 meters at 4.7%, whose relevant segment is 2.4 km at 8.6% and is located in the final part of the ascent. Any winning acceleration must be made at that point. To locate it on the odometer, it is when between 9.5 and 7 km remain until the end of the stage.
The climb concludes with 6 to go and in that final portion, there will be a slight descent followed by another short and easy climb so that the finish is all on the flat.
Climate
Sun on departure, possible rain on arrival.
Scenery
Those in the general classification will seek to relax in the run-up to the last battle, therefore, this will be for the escape.
It is the typical stage in which it is not enough to be the strongest, since the tactical element has a lot of weight: some distant attack and subsequent hesitation in the pursuit, or any other situation that derives from one’s good decision making and bad one. reading others’ careers.
Of course, the advantage for those who have the watts is that there is toughness so that through their strength they can anticipate that scenario where they must take responsibility for closing cuts. If there are legs, the worst thing you can do is speculate, it is mandatory to move early and select in time.
Problems may arise if a significant group is allowed to reach the false plain prior to the final port alive, since there the movements of those who fly low on the radars can be rained on and due to the very texture of the terrain, control will be complicated.
The best strategy is to make a filter on the first climb, to compact a group with as few people as possible so that this matter is resolved by force. And those who do not have that virtue, their bet would be to endure what the body gives and try in the least expected sector to avoid hand-to-hand on the slopes.
Favorites
Julian Alaphilippe – Very combative, in shape – without being that of yesteryear – but due to his present and prestige he will be a man to watch.
Jhonatan Narváez – The strongest of the wheelers, he must make the difference with his watts before he is annulled for hindered cooperation, just as happened the day ‘Loulou’ won.
Nicola Conci – With a good spark uphill, one of the possible surprises.
Ewen Costiou – The third week is going well for him and in Monte Pana he showed that with less marking, he can achieve something more.
Jan Tratnik – Expert in these tours.
Pelayo Sánchez – Movistar’s record for one of these days, with the additional boost of its great condition and having already won.
Alessandro De Marchi – You can get the most out of your experience.
Simone Velasco – Without Scaroni on the team, this is their last real chance and the tricolor is the one that best fits this profile.
Prediction
It’s two in a row and the third time will be the charm to celebrate for the second time, Jhonatan Narváez.
Alejandro Matiz
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