The supercomputer pronounces sentence for the round of 16… and already has a champion for the Euro Cup

The supercomputer pronounces sentence for the round of 16… and already has a champion for the Euro Cup
The supercomputer pronounces sentence for the round of 16… and already has a champion for the Euro Cup

Lto UEFA Euro 2024 group phrase put its final touch this Wednesday with the Resolution of Group E matches. Portugal, Turkey and Georgia were the last to confirm their presence in the knockout round of the last 16 in which they meet the 16 best of the Old Continent. The big goal: Berlin. July 14.

But until then they will have to compete for a total of 14 matches starting this Saturday (Switzerland-Italy and Germany-Denmark) about which there are already all kinds of predictions and bets. One side of the picture is clearly stronger and another, a priori, weaker, on which the focus is placedOpta supercomputerwhich has already given its verdicts on each round with its classic percentages. And so on, until the grand final.

Focusing on the Spanish selectionthis tool thinks that the guys from Luis de la Fuente are Those with the best chances of all 16 to confirm their presence in the quarter-finals. A 82.13% which contrasts with that of Georgiaits rival, and the one that would have the least chance of passing with only one 17.87%.

The The next teams with the best chances of making it to the quarter-finals according to Opta are England (81.63%)which is measured at Slovakia; Portugal (74.51%)which is measured at Sloveniaand Germany (69.48%)whose rival will be Denmark. Focusing, for example, on the current champion, Italywe found a very even duel against Swiss with a 56.96% of chances for those of Spalleti and a 43.04% for those of Yakin.

Rulo Fuentes’ Eleven of the First Phase of the Euro Cup

How does Opta’s supercomputer work?

This statistical model uses odds from the betting market and Opta Power Rankings, which is based on historical and recent team performances. The computer simulates the matches thousands of times. After analysis, it looks at how often each team qualifies to determine the final prediction.

OPTA PREDICTIONS FOR THE ROUND OF 16 OF THE EURO

  • Spain – Georgia | 82.12% – 17.87%
  • England – Slovakia | 81.63% – 18.37%
  • Portugal – Slovenia | 74.51% – 25.49%
  • Germany – Denmark | 69.48% – 30.52%
  • France – Belgium | 67.91% – 32.09%
  • Netherlands – Romania | 67.79% – 32.21%
  • Austria – Türkiye | 57.65% – 42.35%
  • Italy – Switzerland | 56.96% – 43.04%

England-Spain would be the grand final

Once the round of 16 is over, A selection stands out in an outstanding way in the Supercomputer to reach the great Berlin event on the 14th and, therefore, repeat the final for the second consecutive edition. We are talking about Englandyes, who despite having left very poor feelings in the group stage, would have a 38.10% chance of being in the grand final. A very high percentage that is largely explained by the side of the painting in which it goes.

His rival in this match would be Spainwho is given a 27.14% of options to play again in the final round of this championship 12 years later. La Roja would have a 45.25% to be in the semi-finals and, later, 27.14% to be in the German capital against Gareth Soutgate’s team. Both, of course, They are the ones with the greatest chances of winning the title, with 19.98% for the English and 17.17% for the Spanish.

MARCA macro survey: which teams will advance to the quarterfinals?

After seeing the data and predictions offered by Opta’s supercomputer, at MARCA we invite you to vote in our polls and get “wet” with the teams that you think will have a place in the quarterfinals.

 
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