Hunter. Although for many people that name is not very familiar, the truth is that it can play a decisive role in the United States presidential elections that will take place next November 5th. You only have to know his last name, Biden, to know that he is one of the current president’s children and that his problems with the law could jeopardize his father’s options to renew his mandate.
Neither the Republican nor the Democratic primaries have had history. So much Donald Trump as Joe Biden have decisively imposed themselves on their rivals and the voters are going to have to choose between the same candidates of the 2020 elections. The differences between them are minimal, as surveys show, so any factor can lean the scale to one side or the other.
And when it comes to the 2024 elections, it seems clear that The courts are going to play a role. protagonist. In the case of the tycoon, The jury has found Trump guilty of all charges, a total of 34, in the Stormy Daniels case. The verdict indicates that the Republican candidate falsified accounting records to cover up the payment of a bribe to the porn film actress for electoral purposes.
Logically, a presidential candidate being convicted could be a very powerful card in the hands of a rival, but the truth is that Biden has enough to worry about how it will affect his options. the processes that Hunter has open.
This June 3, a criminal trial for illegal possession of weapons. The events date back to 2018, a period in which he has admitted that he was addicted to crack. After the death of his brother Beau in 2015 from cancer, he fell in a spiral of drugs and alcohol and acquired a weapon for 11 days, filling out on the weapon purchase form that he did not use drugs.
The trial took place after the failure of a plea agreement that would have avoided a trial in the middle of the election campaign. If he is ultimately found guilty, he faces a maximum sentence of 25 years of prison, although the maximum is not usually applied to first-time offenders and it is not even clear that they would go to jail.
Hunter also has another lawsuit pending in California in which he is accused of not paying $1.4 million in taxes.
It is not the same for one as for another
Therefore, we will have to see how the court decisions affect the campaign. Normally, these scandals do not usually have a special impact for Donald Trump. In this sense, its strategy despise institutions It usually works very well with his electorate. There have been several times in which the tycoon has claimed to live “a political persecution.”
For Biden, it can have more impact. There is no doubt that the Republican leader is going to harshly attack his rival for the judicial proceedings of his son, who join other problems who is living in his mandate. It is the case of the persistent inflation, his criticized action in Gaza or doubts about his health and the suitability of him being a candidate again due to his recurring memory failures and lapses.
The theory tells us that the effect of judgments on one side and the other should make tend to balance, but the truth is that because of the aforementioned it is Biden who has the most to lose. Beyond his son’s problems, he may receive attacks for the failures of his administration, while Trump will only have to defend himself against his own processes and will surely continue to insist on the message that it’s a conspiracy against his person.
Right now we are in an almost total tie. The polling average shows that the distance between Trump, who is leading, and Biden, who is chasing, is just over one point. 41.1% by 39.8%. Some insignificant differences that make every vote count and that each state can be decisive to elect the next president. We’ll see how Hunter influences the campaign.
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