200 to 300 mm of precipitation will bring a new atmospheric river to the country

A new and extensive area of ​​low pressure is arriving that will leave abundant rains on the country thanks to an atmospheric river.

Viviana Urbina 06/09/2024 10:42 6 min

The passage of a frontal system through Chile left intense rainfall in the central and southern zone, which arrived with moderate to intense winds, rains that accumulated more than 60 mm in less than 12 hours and some scattered thunderstorms.

Now, we focus on what may happen over the weather across the mainland in the coming days, in a week that promises to be rainy again over several regions of Chile.

Atmospheric river predicted by the ECMWF model
A new atmospheric river will arrive in several regions of Chile during the next week.

The arrival of a new front systemguided by an extensive area of ​​low pressure, and which will add to an atmospheric river that aims to be from extreme to exceptional categorywill leave amounts above 200 mm in central and southern sectors.

New and extensive area of ​​low pressure will be positioned off Chile

Weekly trend forecasts tell us that a large cyclonic area (low pressure) will be located again this week off the coast of Chilefavoring the arrival of new front bands to the country.

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An extensive cyclonic area (low pressure) will cross several regions of Chile in the coming days, bringing precipitation from Atacama to Aysén.

This extensive low pressure center —also referred to as extratropical cyclone— will arrive in Chile quickly, after a very brief and almost imperceptible pause, following the frontal system that acts this weekend over the continent.

Unlike the extratropical cyclone that governed the weather conditions last week, the new low pressure will not be stationary, and It will cross the country between Tuesday (11th) and Thursday (13th).

In its progress, will be coupled to an atmospheric riveralso of great territorial extension, which will cover the regions of Coquimbo to Aysén. Although the atmospheric river will present sectors with extreme and exceptional intensity —category 4 and 5 respectively, the highest in the classification— over the center of the country, the Coquimbo Regionas well as the regions of Araucanía to the souththey would receive mainly beneficial impacts.

Map of accumulated precipitation and atmospheric river category
The GFS model projects rainfall greater than 200 mm, in sectors approaching 300 mm. The mountain range will receive intense snowfalls thanks to the contribution of moisture from the atmospheric river.

The great low pressure and the atmospheric river will be responsible for leaving lrains between the regions of Atacama and Aysénconcentrated with more intensity between days Wednesday and Thursday of next week.

The precipitation What will this great system provide? They will be solid on the mountain rangesince it will be associated with a much colder air mass, with a zero degree isotherm that will move between the 1,800 m in the south of the country and 2,400 m in the central north.

Atmospheric river of exceptional category will land on central Chile in the second week of June

Atmospheric river of exceptional category will land on central Chile in the second week of June

Even so, There will be sectors where liquid precipitation will be abundant. He Biobio It may again receive intense pulses of rain during the next week.

More than 90 mm of rainfall above normal could again receive some sectors of Chile

The maps of weekly precipitation anomalies indicate the possibility of rains above normal from Atacama and to the Los Lagos Region. Some sections of the central and southern areas of the country will take much of the rainfall expected for next week.

weekly rainfall anomaly and probability of rainfall
Several regions of Chile will receive rainfall again during the second week of June.

The Andes mountain range will receive snowfall that could add between 60 to 100 cm over Maule and O’Higgins. The heaviest rains will be concentrated mainly in the south of the Maule, on the Ñuble Region, in the Biobío Region. They can also receive considerable rainfall valley, coastal mountain range of La Araucanía and Los Ríos.

Given what the projections of the forecast models tell us, Attention will once again focus on the south center and south of the countryalthough rainfall will hit during the next week between the south of Atacama and the north of Aysén.

Remember to follow the instructions of the authorities and be pay attention to current alerts and notices for the areas that will be affected by the new rains.

 
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