With the electoral marathon that began in February in Galicia exhausted, unless a blockade forces the Catalan regional elections to be repeated – a not improbable hypothesis – a national legislature that has been idling since its inauguration should see the path clear and pick up speed. There is no certainty of … that it will be like this. Yes, the confirmation that the end of the partisan battle for votes has not reduced one iota a polarization as acute as it is sterile that has made the political climate unbreathable. And that neither the entry into force of the amnesty law, now pending an application by the judges that is presumed to be stormy, nor the scrutiny of the European elections have cleared up the question about the stability of the precarious parliamentary majority in the that Pedro Sánchez supports.
The growing difficulties in maintaining tight ranks in the investiture bloc in Congress warn of the complicated panorama that the Government faces. The main mortar that unites the partners, the fear that the right will come to power, begins to be insufficient when mixed with internal issues and, furthermore, their support for the Executive coincides with an appreciable loss of voters – EH Bildu is the great exception – and the ghost of a preview of the general elections flies over the stage, which invites them to prepare for such an eventuality. In this context, the legislature is approaching its decisive hour. A magnificent thermometer to gauge its future will be the processing of the Budgets once its extension this year makes it difficult to resort to that formula again. The approval of the Accounts, which would pave a terrain full of obstacles, will depend not only on their content, but also on the willingness of Junts and ERC to support them depending on how the governability of the Generalitat is resolved and Sánchez’s willingness to new assignments. Also of the interests of the other allies. The crisis in Sumar after a new tumble at the polls and its fight with Podemos constitute added difficulties.
The PSOE saved the day in the European elections, in which the unequivocal victory of the PP was not so forceful as to put the Executive on the ropes nor does it hide a double lack of the popular ones: they still do not set the political agenda – it goes in the slipstream of the debate framework set by the Government – and without building an alternative whose main ‘hook’ is not to evict Sánchez from Moncloa.
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