The International Monetary Fund (IMF) estimated that the Peruvian economy would grow 2.8% in 2025, according to the “world Economy Perspectives” report of April of this year.
This figure represents a reduction of 0.5 percentage points compared to what is estimated in January, when a 3.3%advance was foreseen.
This estimate is made in front of a uncertain international context by the Commercial war and for being a pre -electoral year at the local level. As for 2026, the FMI He estimates that the Peruvian economy would grow 2.6%.
The reduction of Peru’s estimate is aligned with that of the rest of the world. He FMI The forecast of global economic growth for this year, up to 2.8%, due to the infection effect on all the economies of the tariff war unleashed by Donald Trumpwhich will mainly pour United States, China and Mexico.
Other economies
The reduction in the new projections of the FMI By 2025 it is greater for USAwhich would grow 1.8 %, 0.9 percentage points less than expected in its January report, while for China forecasts a growth of 4%.
The IMF also reduced its growth projection for Latin America and the Caribbean for 2025, from the 2.5% estimated last January to 2%, according to its latest report.
“The region faces an adverse global environment, characterized by high uncertainty in commercial policy, geopolitical fragmentation and hardening of financial conditions. Consequently, the growth of the PBI Regional will drop to 2% this year, although it will recover in 2026 with an advance of 2.4%, the same rate as last year, “said the IMF.
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Published: 4/23/2025
