Mild price gains in gold, silver just ahead of FOMC conclusion

(Kitco News) – Gold and silver prices are posting modest, corrective price advances in early US trading Wednesday, following this week’s sharp losses. Many markets are in pause modes ahead of this afternoon’s conclusion of the FOMC meeting. June gold was last up $2.80 at $2,305.70. July silver was last up $0.101 at $26.755.

The highly anticipated Federal Reserve Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting ends this afternoon with a statement and press conference from Fed Chair Jerome Powell. No changes in monetary policy are expected, but the FOMC statement and Powell’s presser will be very closely scrutinized by the marketplace. Recent warmer US inflation data has prompted most traders and analysts to dial back their timelines on any interest rate cuts from the Fed, if they come at all this year. There is a small camp of Fed watchers that think the next interest rate move by the Fed will be to hike. Most expect Powell to remain hawkish on US monetary policy in his remarks today. Markets could become more active this afternoon. A Wall Street Journal headline today reads: “Fed has patience to let high rates work.”

On Friday morning comes the US jobs report from the Labor Department.

Asian and European stock indexes were mixed overnight. US stock indexes are pointed toward lower openings when the New York day session begins.

The key foreign markets today see the US dollar index slightly up. Nymex crude oil prices are lower and trading around $80.75 a barrel. The yield on the benchmark 10-year US Treasury note is fetching 4.69%.

Other US economic data due for release Wednesday includes the weekly MBA mortgage applications survey, the ADP national employment report, the US manufacturing PMI, the ISM report on business manufacturing, construction spending, the job openings and labor (JOLTS) report, domestic auto industry sales and the weekly DOE liquid energy stocks report.

Technically, the gold futures bulls have the overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. A price uptrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and prices are now starting to trend down on the daily bar chart. Bulls’ next upside price objective is to produce a close in June futures above solid resistance at $2,364.40. Bears’ next near-term downside price objective is pushing futures prices below solid technical support at $2,200.00. First resistance is seen at $2,325.00 and then at $2,350.00. First support is seen at the overnight low of $2,291.70 and then at $2,275.00. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 6.5.

The silver bulls still have the slight overall near-term technical advantage but are fading. A price uptrend on the daily bar chart has been negated and prices are now trending down. Silver bulls’ next upside price objective is closing July futures prices above solid technical resistance at $28.00. The next downside price objective for the bears is closing prices below solid support at $25.00. First resistance is seen at $27.00 and then at $27.50. Next support is seen at $26.50 and then at $26.25. Wyckoff’s Market Rating: 5.5.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Kitco Metals Inc. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; However, neither Kitco Metals Inc. nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Kitco Metals Inc. and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 
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