Mexico is experiencing his third heat wave of the 2024 season, temperatures have exceeded 35 degrees Celsius in some regions and in states in the north of the country the thermometer has reached 40 degrees Celsius, in addition, the Civil Protection authorities have recorded the deaths of at least 10 people related to heatstroke and to extreme temperatures.
However, the country’s climatic conditions are about to change. Although two more heat waves are still expected in June, the phenomenon of The girl It would generate changes in climate forecasts, especially in relation to the rainy and hurricane season in the country.
He phenomenon of Child and the Little girl affects Mexico at different times of the year, mainly during the Child is associated with the beginning of spring, when there is a considerable increase in temperature, while that of Little girl It is related to the drop in temperature.
By 2024, the World Meteorological Organization (WMO) predicts that the phenomenon of Little girl occurs between June and August.
According to the National Water Comission (With water), the phenomenon of Little girl It is an “anomalous” condition that is related to sea surface temperature, especially the temperature of the tropical Pacific.
When there is a drop in sea surface temperature, it is when we talk about the phenomenon of Little girl, this decrease is between -0.5 degrees or less below the average established by the WMO. This change in temperature would generate favorable scenarios for the development of cyclones and cyclones in the Pacific.
According to the World Meteorological Organizationthe climatic phenomenon of The girl It is associated with low temperatures, so in the middle of the year it will affect much of the world. As reported in a statement, there is a 50% chance that this phenomenon will occur between June and August, while for the August – November period the probability increases to 70 percent.
The girl It is produced by a drop in surface water temperatures in the Pacific Ocean central and eastern, which is usually linked to changes in tropical atmospheric circulation, accompanied by wind and rain, according to the WMO.
Because The hurricane and cyclone season has already begun in Mexicowith the phenomenon of The girl, the effects of storms could increase. Due to the decrease in sea temperature, the appropriate scenario is generated for cyclones to increase the probability of rain on the coasts.
It is worth remembering that the cyclone and hurricane season officially began on 15 th of May on the Pacific coasts, while on the Atlantic side it began on June 1, according to the National Metereological Service.
So, as soon as the phenomenon of Little girl is evident in the Pacific area near Mexico, rains and low temperatures could manifest in a large part of the country. Between August and september is when there is a greater probability that The girl generate effects on the climate.
The world is currently under the influence of The boy, inverse phenomenon at The girl linked to an increase in temperatures and partly responsible for 2023 being the warmest year on record, although experts also highlight the influence of human action on the rise in temperatures, due to the emission of greenhouse gases. greenhouse effect.
