American President Joe Biden and his rival, former President Donald Trump (2017-2021), They enter this Thursday’s debate on CNN with a tie in the national pollsbut with the Republican ahead in most of the states that will be key in the November elections.
According to the average of surveys from the FiveThirtyEight portal, Trump has 41% voting intention, compared to 40.9% for Biden, who has recovered ground in recent weeks and for whom a good performance this Thursday is vital to improve in polls and clear up some of the doubts about whether he can manage a second term at 81 years old.
The latest national survey, published on Wednesday by the newspaper The New York Timesgives Trump a three-point lead over Biden with 40% of voting intentions among likely voters.
The polls put both candidates within or very close to the margin of error, Therefore, the performance in the debate, the earliest in history, could be decisive in changing the trend in the polls and guiding the perception of voters.
Polls in decisive statesthose who may lean towards one candidate or another, They give Trump advantages in the majority.
In Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania the margin is a technical tie, while Trump has clear margins in Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada and Arizona.
This debate will be historicnot only because it comes before the conventions of both parties – a face-to-face meeting had never been held before September – but because of the age of the candidates (78, Trump; 81, Biden).
Besides, It is the first that the Commission on Presidential Debates has not organized since 1988 and the first since the 1960 inaugural television debate between John F. Kennedy and Richard Nixon to have no audience.
