The prevailing polarization seems to push voters to exercise their right this Sunday, judging by the polls released by Elabe, IFOP-Fiducial and Ipsos, on the final day of the electoral campaign ahead of votes for which almost 50 are called. millions of people.
According to Elabe’s survey of BFM TV and La Tribune Dimanche, turnout in the first round was between 63 and 65 percent, while IFOP-Fiducial’s survey of Le Figaro, LCI and Sud Radio was 67 percent, and Ipsos’ survey of Le Monde, Radio France and France TV was 63 percent.
In the 2022 legislative elections, only 47.5 percent of the voters voted, ratifying a downward trend, after the 64.4 registered in 2002, 60.4 in 2007, 57.2 in 2012 and 48.7 in 2017.
The prevailing political situation could explain the rise in voter interest, following the dissolution of the National Assembly on June 9 by President Emmanuel Macron and the call for new parliamentarians, in reaction to the broad victory of the far-right party. National Group (RN) in the European Championships that day.
Boosted by this victory and by the advantage that all the polls give it, RN aspires to achieve an absolute majority in the Assembly in the legislative elections of June 30 and July 7 (second round), which would allow it to have the position of prime minister, which would impose an uncomfortable political cohabitation on Macron.
Several opinion studies show the concern of half of French people about the eventual coming to power of the extreme right, while more than a third of them estimate that such a scenario would be the best to solve problems such as the loss of purchasing power by citizens. and insecurity.
Behind RN, the polls place the New Popular Front bloc of left-wing parties, close to 30 percent of voting intentions, and even more relegated to the ruling party, with 20, a projection that if fulfilled at the polls would imply for the ruling force. Renacimiento and its allies fell from 245 deputies in the dissolved National Assembly to just over 100.
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