When does the hurricane season begin in Mexico?; National Meteorological provides 29 to 37 events

For this year, 29 a 37 tropical cyclones With prolonged rains they could affect Mexico, according to Fabián Vázquez Romañageneral coordinator of the national Meteorological Service (SMN).

The National Meteorological Service (SMN) and the National hurricane Center (CNH) reported that on May 15 the Hurricanes season in the Pacific Ocean, with 16 to 20 cyclones that could affect Mexico.

On June 1 the season will begin in the Atlantic, where it is estimated that 13 to 17 hurricanes could be formed and arrive in the country. Both seasons end on November 30.

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In this regard, Dr. Christian Domínguez Sarmiento, researcher at the Institute of Atmosphere and Climate Change of the National Autonomous University of Mexico (UNAM), indicated that although today different institutions made seasonal forecasts of the average behavior of the cyclones, these may have a wide margin of error, made by which prevention must be encouraged despite knowing the intensity of an event.

Domínguez Sarmiento explained that “until now, the forecasts indicate that the season will be slightly more active than normal in the Atlantic. The formation of 17 tropical cyclones is expected, a higher than the historical average of 14 cyclones between 1991 and 2020. In the Pacific, 19 cyclones are expected, also above the average, which is around 16”.

Currently, the planet crosses a neutral phase of climatic oscillation known as the southern child-darkness. This means that the temperatures of the tropical Pacific are within the normal ranges, which makes it difficult to identify clear patterns about the behavior of cyclones.

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In neutral conditions, such as current, Pacific cyclones tend to get closer to the Mexican coasts, although they do not necessarily increase in number. However, those that were form could represent a greater risk of impact, he added in this regard in an informative article of the UNAM.

During the national meeting of Civil defense For the rainy season and tropical cyclones 2025, Vázquez Romaña, reported that the names of natural phenomena in alphabetical order are already available.

In it Peaceful The tropical cyclones are Alvin, Barbara, Cosme, Dalila, Erick, Flossie, Gil, Henriette, Ivo, Juliette, Kiko and Lorena.

In it Atlantic They will be called Mario, Narda, Octave, Priscila, Raymond, Sonia, Tico, Velma, Wallis, Xina, York and Zelda.

em/bmc