The consultant Thinks Argentina He spread his latest voting intention survey on Friday to The Buenos Aires legislative elections, which will be held on May 18. The report; made with 819 cases, between May 1 and 4, and with a margin of error +/- 3.39%; He revealed several exchange points in the city’s electoral panorama.
first of all, The intern that crosses the prowith crosses among its main leaders, and a Mauricio Macri who was pessimistic in recent hours, Take a bill in the game and achieves that Horacio Rodríguez Larreta approaches, practically, at the same level of Silvia Lospenato.
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In the case of the former head of Buenos Aires government, it appears with 12.1% votes“If the elections were tomorrow”, while The current deputy Lospennato reaches 15%.
A decrease of the PRO, although minimal, comes from the side of Ramiro Marra, which does not take off and get a 4% vote intentionpractically the same as Lula Levy (3.6%) and not far from Basi vanina (2.9%). Even more, it is the escape suffered by the former JXC, historical of the civic coalition, Paula Olivetto, who gets 0.6%. In this frame, each vote counts.
But The main responsible for the fall of the PRO in the city of Buenos Aires is called Manuel Adorni. The libertarian raised his intention to vote at 23.7%, Located only 3 points from Leandro Santorocandidate of Peronism.
The link between the pro and lla is cracked and the chances of an electoral alliance are weakened
About Peronism there is a diversification that did not work. While it is true that there are three candidates representing the “Movement” (Leandro Santoro, Juan Manuel Abal Medina, of the Evita Movement and the Morenista Alejandro Kim), in the numbers there were no losses.
Santoro Leadra, is the candidate with the greatest intention of individual vote (26.6%), Kim (2,2) follows and ABA Medina (0.5). There are no leaks in Peronism.
The numbers of the survey in terms of political parties
The definitions of the study by Opina Argentina They become contradictory when analyzed in terms of political spaces. First, “If the elections were tomorrow”, the most voted party would be “Freedom advances by Javier Milei”, with 26.1%.
“The Peronism of Cristina Kirchner, Axel Kicillof and Leandro Santoro”, appears second, with a 25.7. In third place appears “The pro of Mauricio and Jorge Macri”, with 15.6% and fourth “Movement of the development of Horacio Rodríguez Larreta”, with 10.7%. The PRO is dramatic, which could lead with 26.3% if the yellow ones were united with the former government chief.
Legislative elections in the city: “Cristina should be ‘playing’ in the campaign with Santoro”
This picture reflects that, by nationalizing the election and adding names of national political referents in the questions, The votes are ordered different that when consulting for candidates in isolation and personal.
While adorni as a candidate comes second with 23.7%, “La Libertad advances from Milei” comes first and gets 26.1%. Almost three points of difference.
In Peronism the situation is the same but inverse. While Santoro leads as a candidate (26.6%), in terms of space, and with the presence of Kicillof and Cristina Kirchner in the question, the number drops to 25.7%. Just a point, but enough to make it first.
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