The order of the 2025 NFL Draft, as projected by the Football Power Index

There are seven weeks left until the training camps of the NFLmore than three months until the start of the 2024 regular campaign, and almost a year until 2025 NFL Draft. We know what they are thinking; Isn’t it too early to be thinking about the 2025 draft? The answer is no.

Let’s take a first look at the first round projection for the 32 teams with the Football Power Index (FPI) of ESPN. He FPI Project the draft order by simulating the season 10,000 times. Game probabilities are based primarily on model ratings for individual teams as well as match venues. The order is based on the records the model believes the teams will have after 17 games, and the average draft spot for each team in the simulations.

After they review the complete projection of the place 1st to 32nd for the first round of 2025 NFL Draft down here, make sure you check out the rest of the projections of the FPI for the upcoming season.

Average draft position: 5.1
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 21.9 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 66.3 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 87.4 percent


Average draft position: 5.7
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 20.8 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 62.9 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 84.7 percent


Average draft position: 7.0
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 12.4 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 50.9 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 77.1 percent


Average draft position: 9.1
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 7.1 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 36.7 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 65.1 percent


Average draft position: 9.8
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 5.7 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 32.3 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 60.8 percent


Average draft position: 9.8
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 5.8 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 32.4 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 60.9 percent


Average draft position: 10.7
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 4.7 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 28 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 54.8 percent


Average draft position: 11.2
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 3.56 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 25.3 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 52.1 percent


Average draft position: 11.6
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 3.5 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 23.4 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 50.5 percent


Average draft position: 13.1
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining the 1st overall turn: 2.6 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 19.4 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 43.6 percent


Average draft position: 14.1
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 13.9 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 36.1 percent


Average draft position: 14.4
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 14 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 36.6 percent


Average draft position: 14.9
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 11.3 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 30.9 percent


Average draft position: 15.0
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 13.3 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 33.2 percent


Average draft position: 15.8
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-5: 11 percent
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 29.5 percent


Average draft position: 15.9
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 26 percent


Average draft position: 16.2
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 27.4 percent


Average draft position: 16.8
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 24.9 percent


Average draft position: 17.9
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 19.2 percent


Average draft position: 18.5
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 36.6 percent


Average draft position: 20.2
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 18.2 percent


Average draft position: 20.2
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 14.8 percent


Average draft position: 21.3
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 10 percent


Average draft position: 21.4
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 9.6 percent


Average draft position: 22.5
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 6.6 percent


Average draft position: 22.5
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 6.9 percent


Average draft position: 23.6
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 4.9 percent


Average draft position: 23.6
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 4.9 percent


Average draft position: 24.3
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 3.1 percent


Average draft position: 24.4
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 3.5 percent


Average draft position: 25.7
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 2.3 percent


Average draft position: 25.8
Probability according to the FPI of obtaining a turn within the Top-10: 2.1 percent

 
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