Different exit polls projected the candidate of the Let’s Keep Making History coalition as the winner, Claudia Sheinbaumin the presidential elections of Mexico, which would make her the country’s first female president.
The surveys by the consulting firms Massive Poll, Enkoll, and the analysis of the NMás channel projected a comfortable victory for the former mayor of Mexico City, over the candidate of the Fuerza y Corazón por México coalition, Xóchitl Gálvez Ruiz.
For example, Massive Poll gave Sheinbaum 59% of the votes, while Gálvez 29%. While Enkoll projected a victory with 57.8% of the preferences, followed by Gálvez with 29.1%. Buendía & Márquez gave the former mayor 59% and Gálvez 30%.
Along the same lines, the first official results with only 1% of the votes counted, gave 60.2% to Sheinbaum against 28.3% for Gálvez.
Likewise, the leader of the ruling MORENA party, Mario Delgadosaid before the pollsters released their projections that Sheinbaum had won by a “very wide” margin.
For his part, Xóchitl Gálvez was also declared the winner. The candidate of the coalition made up of the PRI-PAN-PRD parties, pointed out that “it is clear that we have already won,” highlighting the high participation of the day. “We are competing against authoritarianism” and she asked her followers to accompany the vote counting. “Despite all the abuse of power and millions of pesos diverted to help his candidate, I call on President López Obrador to respect the vote of Mexicans.”
“I had told them for months that we were going to win these elections despite all the cheating, all the lies, despite all the abuse of power and their diverted millions of pesos,” declared the candidate for the Fuerza y coalition. Heart for Mexico in the Mexican capital.
And after these statements Mario Delgado responded: “they call themselves democrats and they go out and lie to the people.”
“It seems to me that Xóchitl lacks information. The truth is, I think they have beaten her and the entire movement that she represents by a lot tonight,” said the Mexican writer and journalist, Héctor Aguilar Camín.
In the Mexican presidential elections there is no second round, so whoever obtains the greatest number of votes today wins immediately. The winner of the election will govern from October 1 to September 30, 2030.
Almost 100 million Mexicans are eligible to vote. The elections, in which just over 20,000 public positions are elected – including senators, deputies, the capital’s mayor and eight governors – were held amid a context of violence that has left dozens of candidates murdered.
Even on Sunday morning, the murder of a candidate for trustee in a municipality in the western state of Michoacán was announced, reaching a new record of 38 candidates killed in these elections. While the election in basic box 307 of the municipality of Coyomeapan, in the Mexican state of Puebla, was temporarily suspended this Sunday due to “violent events,” said Blanca Yassahara Cruz García, president of the State Electoral Institute (IEE). ) from Puebla.
Cruz García pointed out that the violent events were reported by the IEE municipal council in Coyomeapan, but did not give details of what happened.
In this sense, the advisors of the National Electoral Institute of Mexico (INE) held a minute of silence this Sunday in memory of the people who have been murdered during this electoral period.
Sheinbaum promised to continue the legacy of the current president, the left-wing nationalist Andrés Manuel López Obrador, although with slight adjustments to mitigate violence linked to organized crime, reduce public debt, stimulate the economy, promote renewable energy and tackle corruption.
“Long live democracy,” said Sheinbaum, in a brief message after casting his vote in a polling station south of the capital, which he governed between 2018 and 2023, when he left office to seek the presidency.
Voters stood in long lines and waited even hours to be able to vote due to the crowds of people at the voting centers, but also due to the delay in installing polling stations.
The electoral authority reported that as of noon almost 88% of the voting stations had been installed and that no major incidents had been recorded so far. And by 3:30 p.m. the INE reported that 99.98% of the polling stations had been installed.
“That is what we want to see, boxes filled with the decision of Mexican men and women,” said candidate Xóchitl Gálvez after also casting her vote in Mexico City after more than two hours of waiting.
The ruling Morena and his allies were expected to maintain a simple majority in the upper and lower houses but would fall short of securing a qualified majority, according to polls, a result closely watched by investors for its effect on the governance of the second largest economy. from Latin America, indicated Reuters.
Canal NMás projected the victory of the ruling Morena party for the governorships in the states of Chiapas, Morelos, Tabasco, Puebla, and Veracruz.
Although the welfare policies of López Obrador, known as AMLO, helped reduce working poverty to historic lows of 35.8%, whoever wins the presidency will receive a sexist country with meager economic growth and mired in an insecurity crisis that, Coupled with water shortages and power outages, it could threaten the relocation of companies from China and other parts of Asia, the Reuters agency indicated.
He will inherit a challenging fiscal situation due to increased pension payments and social programs, added to the fact that the outgoing president deepened the dependence of the highly indebted state oil company Pemex on large contributions from the Government to alleviate its finances.
Alberto Ramos, managing director of Goldman Sachs, told Reuters that the next government would likely have to undertake tax reform at some point and review costly transfers to Pemex.
Sheinbaum has said he would maintain support for Pemex and has ruled out tax reform at least in the first part of his six-year government, if he becomes president.
“This six-year term has been one of delay and stagnation,” said Rosa María Baltazar, a 69-year-old housewife in Mexico City who said she voted for Gálvez. “The country is flooded with blood as a result of so much corruption (…) I want a change of government for my country for something that is for a better life,” she emphasized.
The new president, who will begin her six-year term on October 1, will also face a series of complicated negotiations with the United States over the flow of migrants crossing Mexico and cooperation on drug trafficking as its neighbor struggles with a fentanyl epidemic. .
Mexican officials fear negotiations will be more complicated if Donald Trump wins the presidential election in November. A review of the North American trade agreement, USMCA, is expected in 2026 and US officials have warned it will be “uncomfortable”.
