The guilty verdict against the former president donald trump In fact, it may have hurt the Republican candidate for the White House in terms of consensus, according to the latest edition of a periodic survey conducted by the “New York Times” newspaper in collaboration with Siena College. In the poll, Trump’s lead over the incumbent president Joe Biden has dropped to just one percentage point, compared to the difference of three points registered before the conviction suffered by the former president in the trial in New York for payments to the porn actress Stormy Daniels. The survey, in which 2,000 voters participated, offers a first indication of the possible effects of the ruling on the dynamics of consensus in the face of the next US presidential elections.
Before the verdict, most polls indicated that American voters considered the Stormy Daniels payments case to be less serious than other legal disputes involving Trump. However, according to the new “New York Times” poll, this orientation has partially changed during the month of May, especially among young non-white voters and among Democratic voters less interested in politics. About 20 percent of African-American voters surveyed by the newspaper who previously supported Trump would now support Biden, while the percentage of non-black voters who changed their minds about Trump after his conviction is much more limited, at just 2.0 percent. percent. 46 percent of those interviewed in the same survey say they agree with the guilty verdict against the former president, while 33 percent believe it is incorrect and 16 percent refuse to give an opinion on the matter. Other polls released in recent days appear to indicate that Trump’s conviction has caused him to lose support: a Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Friday shows that 10 percent of registered Republican voters are less likely to vote for the former president after the sentence. Instead, a Morning Consult poll found a 3 percent increase in support for Biden, up to 45 percent, while support for Trump remained unchanged at 44 percent compared to the previous poll.
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