Gold set for third-quarter gain; Traders await US inflation data

Gold set for third-quarter gain; Traders await US inflation data
Gold set for third-quarter gain; Traders await US inflation data

By Sherin Elizabeth Varghese

(Reuters) – Gold prices eased on Friday, but were set for a third straight quarterly rise, while investors look forward to U.S. inflation data due later in the day for more clarity on the Federal Reserve’s interest rate-cut timeline.

Spot gold was down 0.3% at $2,321.18 per ounce, as of 0354 GMT. Prices have gained about 4% for the quarter.

US gold futures fell 0.2% to $2,331.90.

“Gold is up on the quarter, largely as the scope for monetary easing in the US has increased… China also bought large amounts of gold for their reserves, which helped offer support in the second quarter,” said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.

After adding to its gold reserves for 18 consecutive months, official data from the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) showed its holdings were flat in May. A survey by the World Gold Council, however, found that more central banks may increase gold reserves within 12 months.

Gold rose more than 1% in the previous session after data showed a continued, though moderate, slowdown in US economic activity. Currently, the market sees a 64% chance of a first Fed cut in September, according to the CME FedWatch tool.

However, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman reiterated on Thursday that she is not ready yet to support a central bank rate cut with inflation pressures still elevated.

The US personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index – the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure – is due at 1230 GMT.

A soft set of (PCE) figures is required to keep hopes of Fed easing alive and further support for gold, City Index senior analyst Matt Simpson said.

While bullion is considered an inflation hedge, higher rates increase the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.

Spot silver was flat at $29.07, platinum gained 1.1% to $998.15. Both metals were set for quarterly gains.

Spot palladium climbed 1.6% to $944.40.

(Reporting by Sherin Elizabeth Varghese in Bengaluru; Editing by Janane Venkatraman and Sherry Jacob-Phillips)

 
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