He PP of Córdoba Last Sunday he spent one of the last rubicons he had left in the provincial electoral contest. His victory in the European elections was the first since they were first called in 1987. An election that closed, … Furthermore, a two year cycle where citizens have had to go to the polls at all institutional levels. It began on June 19, 2022 with the regional elections and ended yesterday with the appointment of the representatives to the community chamber.
Throughout this journey, the popular have achieved consolidate an eleven-point lead on his most direct adversaries, the PSOE; and in a province like Cordoba, immersed in socialist triumphs in its long democratic history. The distance is not trivial and speaks clearly of the good times that the first and the endurance that the latter offer in their traditional fiefdoms and in a bad situation; especially in terms of the loss of local power after the municipal elections of May 2023.
On the first date two years ago in which Juanma Moreno obtained an absolute majority, the formation he presides in Córdoba Adolfo Molina recorded its best absolute and relative data so far in this cycle. A total of 172,811 votes, or what is the same, 44.7% of the votes cast. They left the socialists to 21 points away (23.5%), which fell to 90,884. It is true that the worst data of this entire journey for the PSOE, which, little by little, has been improving its numbers.
Municipal impact
Almost a year after Moreno’s overwhelming victory, a key event such as the municipal elections arrived. The province of Córdoba has been, except for the absolute majority of the PP in 2011 with Rajoy, an island that made up the PP in the capital and some towns in the North and South in front of a red mosaic in the power of the acronym that it commands today. Pedro Sánchez. However, andOn May 28, 2023, he dealt a new setback to his opponents. He went down to 40.6% of support and reduced support in absolute values by about ten thousand votes (162,627). The teams led by Rafi Crespín were left with 119,336 votes (almost 30,000 more) and reduced it to 11 points. The keys to local elections are different. In many cases the candidate’s profile comes before his or her initials. Even so, the popular people achieved the Provincial Council of Córdoba and governed the vast majority of towns with more than 10,000 inhabitants.
Just two months later, Sánchez set the order for the general elections. It attracted, despite the dates, the highest participation compared to the previous ones (almost 73%), and allowed its coreligionists to shorten the distance a little more with the Feijóo faithful who, however, barely distanced themselves from the 40% threshold of voters. In Specifically, the ballots entered into the polls left 169,356 for the popular ones (38% of the votes), and figures very close to those of the regional ones; and The PSOE achieved the best figure of the entire series, with 143,291 (and 32%). Barely 26,000 supports separated them, but the truth is that the conservative party won for the third consecutive time over the leftist party.
The tour ended yesterday with the contest that always arouses the most disinterest among voters. Specific, This Sunday’s abstention reached 51% -More than half of the Cordobans called to the polls did not appear at the schools. On that basis, the PP improved its trend and rose to 39.7% of the votes cast, with a total of 119,888 votes and the first defeat of the socialists in almost forty years of Europeanism. Being the absolute worst figure in these races, the low participation enhances the value of the victory that closes the two-year electoral cycle.
The socialists were almost 25,000 votes apart (94,768) and 8.5 points apart, taking steps back compared to the small progress that had been made since June 2022.
Ratings
The photo of the triumphant provincial PP president along with the mayor of CórdobaJosé María Bellido, and the rest of the leading cadres are beginning to be a regular feature of the electoral calendar. The average support received in the four elections is almost 41% (40.7% to be exact). In the case of the PSOE, this average rises to 29% (29.2% precisely). We are facing eleven points of slack after these four appointments.
Adolfo Molina He appeared yesterday in an appearance satisfied with the latest results. «We are the party of the people of Cordobawhere they feel reflected, the one that solves their problems, where they feel comforted, and that is the greatest satisfaction we have since the reason for our training is to be useful to citizens, and we will continue in that.”
For its part, Rafi Crespín commented yesterday that “the PSOE “He continues to be the useful and solvent representative of the Córdoba left”, especially due to the results of the parties located “further to our left due to the fragmentation of acronyms and proposals.” Now, the double rural and urban scenario marks mild self-criticism. “The rural areas of the province continue to prefer to endorse our progressive policies”but he argued, at the same time, that “it is necessary to reflect to recover the progressive vote in the urban area and the most populated towns and cities.”
As for the rest of the political formations, the electoral cycle leaves saw teeth in them. On the one hand, this Vox, which started in the regional elections with 12.4% of support and third force, dropped to almost half of the support in the municipal elections (6.9%) and took flight in the general elections (14% ) with its best data and those of this Sunday, retreating a few steps to 10%. The average has remained at 11%. Regarding the amalgamation of acronyms and formats where the old IU and Podemos have been enrolling, they have been very stable in the first three appointments (13%-14%) until the European ones have brought them down to 9%. On average, 12.6% of the votes.
