Omens, hypotheses and alerts are beginning to arise regarding the possible formation of a tropical depression from an existing wave that, categorically, could affect Cuba.
Although information should be followed through official means, from the Villa Clara Meteorological Center (CMP) Master Amaury Machado Montes de Oca, head of the Forecast Group, insists that it is very premature and unprofessional to claim any level of impact.
“There is a system that could become a depression, but the fact that it is heading towards the archipelago is not serious so many days in advance, since at present there are no formation models or exact data to ensure the development of this system.”
The strong wave associated with low pressures is typical of this time, and it is worth noting that the possible reference development in the tropical Atlantic is located more than 4,500 km from Cuba.
“The warming of the Atlantic waters is at a record level, along with that of the Caribbean Sea, and it is normal for it to cause a cyclonic system, so we must pay attention to official reports with a responsible projection of what is being communicated,” insists Machado Montes de Oca.
July is the month with the least cyclonic activity in the entire basin. In the last 500 years, in the case of Cuba, only one has affected the country, which occurred in 2005 with the impacts of “Dennis.”
Cyclonic organisms in July enter, to a large extent, from the tropical Atlantic and transit through the waters very close to Colombia or a little further up because the high oceanic pressures mean that they do not rise in latitude, and it is rare for a cyclone to form in July it will affect our area,” argues the head of the Forecasting group at the CMP.
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