Until now, most of the moderate right in Europe has avoided entering into coalitions with the far right.
The results of the european elections They have been announced as an overwhelming victory for the extreme right, and although they have represented a clear advance of their forces, the story is more complicated.
In Brussels Things don’t look like they’re going to change much. Although social democracy and liberalism have lost seats, together with the center-right they will not lack votes to maintain the majority of the broad center. Meanwhile, the far right cannot form an alliance. The clearest example is in the difficulty of German AfD in convincing Marine Le Pen to allow them to enter her Identity and Democracy bloc, which maintains a considerable distance from the other hard right, the Conservatives and Reformists.
The European extreme right is not one. When in France or Hungary they share good relations with the Kremlin, in Italy the Meloni government has become a firm ally of Ukraine. If in Spain they raise the flag of national unity, in Belgium they raise that of independence. And while some dream of a European Union different, others would not hesitate to dismantle it.
More attention must be paid to the center-right, which has adopted nationalist overtones to survive the onslaught of the far-right. In Germany, Christian democracy has left behind Merkel’s moderate line by hardening her stance on immigration. In Spainthe PP has become an increasingly intransigent opposition to Sanchismo, stealing its star from Vox.
Until now, most of the moderate right in Europe has avoided entering into coalitions with the far right. In France, an attempt by the leader of The Republicans to bring his party closer to that of Le Pen provoked a rebellion among his colleagues and led to his fall. In Germany, Merz, the Christian Democrat leader, promises not to make an agreement with the AfD.
If these parties continue to move to the right, what good will it do for them to maintain the cordon sanitaire? And if they cut it, what will the radical right do with power? Some are betting that they will moderate or end up succumbing to the electoral wear and tear of the anti-establishment movements when they acquire power. Too dangerous a bet.
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