Estimates of what could happen in Cuba’s rainy period (May-October) during 2024 occupied part of the analysis on the second day of sessions of the XI National Forum on Climate Prediction and Applications, based in Villa Clara.
According to models, the behavior of the rains will be above normal, although it was clear that forecasts are forecasts and allow for variability in certain zones and areas of the country, even within a province, since rain is the variable. more complex to forecast.
Several of the territories present presented their stationary predictions, based on maximum and minimum temperatures, precipitation and climate forecasts in the stage addressed.
In this sense, the usefulness of seeking a different presentation of the predictions was considered, to promote better understanding by users. And there was debate regarding the colors used on the maps, which should include an informative legend about the meaning of the tones used.
The event is sponsored by the Climate Center (CenClim) and the Provincial Meteorological Center of Villa Clara, with the participation of specialists and researchers from the headquarters of the Institute of Meteorology (Insmet) and the CMP. Among its aims is to provide a platform for dialogue between climate information providers, decision-makers and clients from the different socioeconomic sectors of the territory.
The Forum also addresses issues related to the improvement of services in provincial meteorological centers.
For today, the exchange is announced with those who use seasonal forecasts in order to influence decisions, without ruling out short-term needs.
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